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PJM: the rules for data center loads

Graded Moderate and tightening on how it connects a new large load. 14 states, 7 actions with sources, reviewed 10 October 2026.

Reviewed 10 October 2026 · Part of the Data Center Rulebook

Capacity short at the price cap; curtailment rule for new loads pending

Moderate↑ Tightening14 states7 items
4in force
2pending
14states
60.0 GWin the queue
0.4xqueue to peak load
27 October 2026reviewed
Regulation3.0 / 5
  1. Queue process1

    No PJM large-load study process is in force; transmission owners handle loads and FERC's June 18, 2026 show-cause found the tariff lacks study rules.

  2. Cost allocation4

    The July 14, 2026 auction cleared at the $325 per MW-day cap, and the backstop procurement accepted September 29, 2026 adds up to $555 per MW-day contracts.

  3. Curtailment2

    No curtailment rule is in force: FERC rejected the curtail-first interim service on 9 October 2026 and kept only the large-load definition and registry.

  4. On-site generation3

    Co-location is allowed with review while FERC's June 18, 2026 show-cause order rewrites the rules; the June 9, 2026 fast lane covers only generation.

  5. Available capacity5

    The July 14, 2026 auction cleared at the cap 6,831 MW short of the reliability requirement; FERC's October 9, 2026 order left the shortfall unaddressed.

Scored on rules in force, 1 to 5. 5 is the most regulated. Pending rules set the arrow.

Interconnection queueJan 2026
60.0 GWrequested
34.0 GWapproved or contracted
162.6 GWpeak load
744 MW a yearrecent pace
81 yearsof queue at that pace

PJM publishes no RTO-wide large load queue. Proxy is utility large load adjustment submissions: ~60 GW raw for 2030 cut to 34 GW accepted in the 2026 forecast (firm only count toward RPM). 2027 cycle: 12 utilities submitted Sept 29, 2026, totals not yet published, final Jan 2027. PJM 2026 Long-Term Load Forecast (Jan 14, 2026): summer peak 222,106 MW in 2036 and 253,077 MW in 2046 (+96.7 GW over 20 years); large load adjustments add +35.1 GW 2026 to 2031, more than all net peak growth in that window pjm.com Pace: Proxy: Dominion Energy Virginia connected 11 data centers, 744 MW combined, in 2025 (FY2025 annual report). PJM itself publishes no RTO-wide energized large load figure; LAS and IMM decks are forecast only. sec.gov

  • Dominion Energy Virginia ~53.8 GW of data center capacity in various stages of contracting as of July 2026 (about 12 GW under electric service agreements), up 5.3 GW since Dec 2025; Dec 2024 comparison: 40 GW total, 26 GW substation engineering LOAs, 5 GW construction LOAs, 9 GW ESAs Jul 2026 marketbeat.com
  • PJM 2026 Load Forecast large load adjustments (Modo Energy analysis) Raw utility submissions for 2030 ~60 GW; PJM accepted 34 GW (43% cut); large load adjustments +35.1 GW 2026-2031 vs total demand growth +34.6 GW; 78% of peak growth to 2046 is large load Jan 2026 modoenergy.com
  • PJM Load Analysis Subcommittee, 2027 forecast cycle 12 utilities (Dominion, NOVEC, REC, ODEC, PPL, AEP, Duquesne, FirstEnergy, Exelon, AES, Duke, PSEG) presented large load adjustment requests Sept 29, 2026; CRA review Oct 2026, PJM adjustment Nov 2026, forecast Jan 2027 Sep 2026 insidelines.pjm.com
  • PJM LAS summary for 2026 forecast (Nov 24, 2025) Accepted adjustments support PJM data center growth of up to ~30 GW between 2025 and 2030; PJM hosts ~40% of US data centers in 2025 Nov 2025 pjm.com

PJM's last two capacity auctions cleared at the price cap and still fell more than 6,600 MW short of the reliability requirement, which PJM attributes mainly to data center growth. Its answer is a one-time backstop purchase of new capacity, a registry of loads of 50 MW or more, and a rule that new large loads without their own new capacity are curtailed before other customers from June 2027. FERC accepted the backstop purchase but delayed it to February 2027, and has not yet ruled on the curtailment rule. FERC is also rewriting PJM's co-location and large-load connection rules.

Outlook for the next year

FERC's 9 October 2026 order left PJM with a large-load registry and no curtailment or bring-your-own-capacity rule; PJM is reviewing how to meet the order while states decide which retail customers are curtailed first, with Ohio and Pennsylvania the states to watch. The backstop procurement cannot take effect before 28 February 2027, PJM's response to the large-load show-cause order is due in mid-November 2026, and the 2029/2030 capacity auction is planned for December 2026.

How does PJM treat a new data center load?

PJM is graded Moderate and tightening on how it connects a new large load: Capacity short at the price cap; curtailment rule for new loads pending PJM's last two capacity auctions cleared at the price cap and still fell more than 6,600 MW short of the reliability requirement, which PJM attributes mainly to data center growth. Its answer is a one-time backstop purchase of new capacity, a registry of loads of 50 MW or more, and a rule that new large loads without their own new capacity are curtailed before other customers from June 2027. FERC accepted the backstop purchase but delayed it to February 2027, and has not yet ruled on the curtailment rule. FERC is also rewriting PJM's co-location and large-load connection rules.

How much load is waiting to connect in PJM?

60.0 GW of large-load interconnection requests as of Jan 2026, of which 34.0 GW approved or contracted. PJM publishes no RTO-wide large load queue. Proxy is utility large load adjustment submissions: ~60 GW raw for 2030 cut to 34 GW accepted in the 2026 forecast (firm only count toward RPM). 2027 cycle: 12 utilities submitted Sept 29, 2026, totals not yet published, final Jan 2027. At the recent pace of about 744 MW a year (Proxy: Dominion Energy Virginia connected 11 data centers, 744 MW combined, in 2025 (FY2025 annual report). PJM itself publishes no RTO-wide energized large load figure; LAS and IMM decks are forecast only.), the queue represents roughly 81 years of connections, which is why most of it will never be built.

Which states are in PJM?

Delaware, District of Columbia, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia and West Virginia. Each state page gives that state's own laws, incentives and local actions, which sit under the grid's connection rules.

Which states in PJM are tightening their data center rules?

13 of 14: Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia.

What is the outlook for data centers in PJM?

FERC's 9 October 2026 order left PJM with a large-load registry and no curtailment or bring-your-own-capacity rule; PJM is reviewing how to meet the order while states decide which retail customers are curtailed first, with Ohio and Pennsylvania the states to watch. The backstop procurement cannot take effect before 28 February 2027, PJM's response to the large-load show-cause order is due in mid-November 2026, and the 2029/2030 capacity auction is planned for December 2026.

Every item, newest first

7 items: each is a law, order, tariff, ruling, utility action or local decision that changes what a data center must do, pay or disclose, or where it may be built. Failed and pending measures are marked. Each links to its source.

  1. Grid operatorOct 2026grid connectionIn force

    First projects accepted into the Expedited Interconnection Track

    On 8 October 2026 PJM accepted its first three fast-lane projects, more than 2,100 MW in total: two ENGIE batteries (860 MW in Crawford County, Pennsylvania and 800 MW in Morrow County, Ohio) and a 455 MW uprate of the Hunterstown gas plant in Adams County, Pennsylvania. All target mid-2029. Applications opened on 31 July; the track takes up to 10 requests a year, requires at least 250 MW of accredited capacity and a state commitment to speed permitting, and sunsets at the end of 2027.

    Source: mgrid.org
  2. Grid operatorOct 2026reliabilityFailed

    FERC rejects the curtail-first service, keeps the large-load registry (ER26-3515)

    Filed 13 August 2026: new loads of 50 MW or more entering service after 1 June 2027 without matching new capacity would be curtailed before pre-emergency demand response, with capped payment, under an Interim Resource Adequacy Service. On 9 October 2026 FERC accepted the large-load definition and a registry of each facility's location, ramp schedule and capacity supply, and rejected the interim service and the bring-your-own-new-capacity rules as intruding on state jurisdiction over retail customers. PJM is reviewing the order.

    Source: utilitydive.com
  3. Grid operatorSep 2026reliabilityApproved, not yet effective

    FERC order on the Reliability Backstop Procurement (ER26-3380)

    FERC accepted the one-time procurement on 29 September 2026 but suspended it for five months, to 28 February 2027, subject to refund and further proceedings on three open issues. The initial target is 6,831 MW of new capacity, reduced by any new supply that large loads contract for directly; contracts run up to 15 years with a cost cap of $555 per MW-day. PJM did not open the procurement on 30 September as planned.

    Source: publicpower.org
  4. Grid operatorJul 2026costs and tariffsIn force

    2028/2029 capacity auction

    Results of 14 July 2026: the auction cleared at the $325 per MW-day cap across the whole footprint, procured 138,318 MW and came up 6,831 MW short of the reliability requirement, for a 14.7 percent reserve margin. The cleared cost is $16.4 billion. The 2027/2028 auction cleared at $333.44 and was 6,623 MW short.

    Source: pjm.com
  5. Grid operatorJul 2026reliabilityPending

    Board decision on large loads and load forecast

    The PJM board's 27 July 2026 letter rejected the only stakeholder proposal that won a supermajority and directed the registry, backstop procurement and curtailment filings. It cites a forecast of about 70 GW of new large-load demand by 2038 and about 15 GW of generation retired since 2022.

    Source: babstcalland.com
  6. Grid operatorJun 2026grid connectionIn force

    Expedited Interconnection Track for new generation

    FERC accepted the fast lane on 9 June 2026. Projects must reach commercial operation within three years and be online by 2030. The regular queue's first cycle drew 829 applications totaling about 212,000 MW by 15 May 2026.

    Source: climatesolutionslaw.com
  7. Grid operatorJun 2026grid connectionPending

    FERC large-load show-cause order (EL26-67)

    FERC preliminarily found on 18 June 2026 that PJM's tariff does not adequately cover large-load studies, cost shifting, co-location, flexible service and generators serving nearby loads. PJM's tariff response is expected in mid-November 2026 after the abeyance period FERC allowed.

    Source: hklaw.com

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